The Email LLM Benchmark

We asked six AIs to write a cold email. Then we let the buyers decide.

0% Keenan won 17 of 18 blind, buyer-judged head-to-heads against the best models on the planet.

Six models wrote, then judged one another blind as real buyers. GPT-5.5, Gemini 3.1, and Claude Sonnet 4.6 won zero votes between them.

Keenan Replicate Labs 0 94.4% win rate
GPT-5.5 OpenAI 0
GPT-5.2 OpenAI 0
Gemini 3.1 Google 0
Claude Opus 4.7 Anthropic 1
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Anthropic 0
Keenan won 17 of 18 blind cold-email head-to-heads. Busy CROSkeptical VPBurned Founder
See how we ran it, below

Which AI writes the best cold email?

The short answer

In a blind, buyer-judged benchmark run by Replicate Labs, six AI models each wrote one cold email from an identical brief, then judged one another blind while role-playing three skeptical B2B buyers. Across 18 blind judgements, Keenan, Replicate Labs’ AI sales coach, won 17 (94.4%). The frontier models, GPT-5.5, GPT-5.2, Gemini 3.1, and Claude Sonnet 4.6, won zero between them. Claude Opus 4.7 took the single remaining vote.

The method

How did we test it?

We gave six AI models one identical brief: write a cold email to Sarah, a skeptical CRO at Lumina, a 120-rep SaaS company, who evaluates every vendor on hard 90-day ROI. Same buyer, same context, same constraints, for all six. Then we turned the models into a jury. Each model in turn played three buyers: a busy CRO, a skeptical VP of Sales, and a founder who has been burned by AI tools before. Every judge read the emails with the labels and order randomised, picked the one that would actually earn a reply, and wrote down why. No judge knew which model wrote which email. No model could favour its own work, because it could not see its own name. That is 18 blind judgements in total, buyers choosing on merit alone.

6 modelsIdentical briefBlind + anonymisedRandomised order18 verdicts
6models wrote
6models judged, 3 personas each
18blind verdicts

The result

What were the results?

It was not close. Keenan took 17 of the 18 votes. The frontier models, the ones that top every public leaderboard, split a single vote between all four of them, and three of them were shut out entirely.

Keenan won across all three buyers: the busy CRO, the skeptical VP, and the burned founder. The only vote it dropped went to Claude Opus 4.7, from a single founder persona.

The emails

What did the winning email look like?

Here is the email that won, in full, exactly as Keenan wrote it. Read it before you read the analysis. Notice what it never does: it never names the product, never references a LinkedIn post, and never asks for a meeting.

Winner Keenan · Replicate Labs 17 / 18

Why it won

  • Opens on the buyer’s problem, not the sender.
  • Runs a diagnostic ("if you reviewed ten slipped deals") that makes the buyer inspect her own org.
  • Uses forensic numbers (68 percent, 31 deals), not marketing ones.
  • Reframes the root cause ("coaching was grading fluency instead of buyer clarity").
  • Never pitches: no product name, no meeting ask, closes with "No pitch."

Every email, unedited. Read the whole field yourself.

The pattern

Why do frontier LLMs write bad cold email?

We read all 18 verdicts and the pattern was almost eerily consistent. The buyers did not reject the frontier emails for being badly written. They rejected them for being written at all: for sounding like exactly what they were, a language model completing a request. Here is what the losers kept doing, in the buyers’ own words.

They opened with "saw your post."

Every buyer flagged it. It is the tell that screams automation.

I deleted the others instantly because they all used the lazy "I noticed you posted about" hook and bloated their emails with product pitches and heavy asks.
Gemini 3.1, playing the Busy CRO

They led with the product.

The pivot from personalisation to pitch happened in the first three lines, every time.

Every other email opens with some version of "saw your post, we built this for you," which is fine once but feels like a mail-merge by the fifth time.
Claude Sonnet 4.6, playing the Skeptical VP

They asked for 20 minutes before earning it.

The meeting ask, the pilot table, the "worth a look." A demand for time made before any relevance was proven.

The rest are variations of the same vendor-script... fine, but indistinguishable from the other 149 emails.
GPT-5.2, playing the Skeptical VP

They were interchangeable.

The sharpest indictment. Not that any single email was bad, but that all of them were the same.

They all lean on the same recycled LinkedIn post plus 90-day ROI scaffolding, interchangeable AI-slop with pilot tables I’ve seen 50 times this quarter.
Claude Opus 4.7, playing the Busy CRO

What did the winning email do differently?

Keenan did the one thing none of the frontier models did. It diagnosed before it pitched. Then it stopped. The buyers noticed immediately, and they described the same five moves over and over: it ran a mental exercise that made them inspect their own org, it used specific forensic numbers instead of marketing claims, it reframed the root cause into something genuinely useful, it never mentioned the product, and it closed with "no pitch" instead of a meeting ask.

It’s the only one that didn’t immediately feel like a vendor trying to drag me into a demo. The slipped-deal pattern was specific and believable... The others leaned on fake personalization, "AI coach" jargon, inflated ROI claims, or asked for 20 minutes.
GPT-5.5, playing the Skeptical VP
It earns the reply because it doesn’t pitch. It shows evidence and stops.
Claude Sonnet 4.6, playing the Skeptical VP

The frontier models wrote emails about the seller. Keenan wrote an email about the buyer. That is the entire difference, and buyers can feel it in the first sentence.

This is not a knock on the frontier models. They did exactly what they were asked. That is the problem. A general model completes the prompt, and "write a cold email" produces fluent, product-first copy by default. Keenan was built on a method, Gap Prospecting, whose entire discipline is to resist that instinct: lead with the buyer’s problem, quantify it, and earn the reply before you ask for anything. The method is the difference, and the method is learnable.

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